Stocktoria
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) earns a Piotroski F-score of 7/9 (strong financial health), with an Altman Z″ in the safe zone. It pays a dividend (safety: moderate). FY2025 revenue was $7.0B at a 18.5% net margin.
Quality score trend · recomputed for each fiscal year
Each year's score is computed from that year's filing — a rising Piotroski F or Altman Z″ means improving financial health, a fall is worth a look.
Beneish M-score: -2.58 — low (below −2.22 — no manipulation red flag) . A statistical screen for earnings manipulation, not proof — and it doesn't apply to most banks/insurers.
Analyst price target
Recent analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | JP Morgan | Overweight (main) |
| 2025-08-20 | B of A Securities | Neutral (main) |
| 2025-05-29 | JP Morgan | Overweight (up) |
| 2025-05-22 | Citigroup | Buy (main) |
| 2025-05-22 | B of A Securities | Neutral (down) |
| 2025-05-19 | Citigroup | Buy (main) |
Wall Street analyst consensus — a sentiment gauge, not our scoring.
How it ranks in Transportation & Utilities · percentile among 348 companies
Percentile vs other Transportation & Utilities companies we cover — e.g. “stronger than 90%” means only 10% score higher on that measure.
Piotroski F breakdown · 7/9 tests passed
- Positive return on assets
- Positive operating cash flow
- Rising ROA
- Cash flow exceeds net income
- Lower long-term debt
- Rising current ratio
- No share dilution
- Rising gross margin
- Rising asset turnover
Altman Z″ components · safe zone
| Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Working capital / assets | 0.122 |
| Retained earnings / assets | 0.472 |
| EBIT / assets | 0.115 |
| Equity / liabilities | 2.811 |
Sector peers · similar-size Transportation & Utilities companies compare side by side →
| Ticker | Company | Piotroski F | Altman Z″ | P / E | Revenue growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | 7/9 | 6.06 | — | +15.7% |
| SFWL | SHENGFENG DEVELOPMENT Ltd | 6/9 | 2.34 | 6.2 | +13.6% |
| FLX | BingEx Ltd | 5/9 | -1.01 | — | -6.7% |
| HXHX | Haoxin Holdings Ltd | 2/9 | 7.07 | 1.4 | +29.2% |
| TOPP | Toppoint Holdings Inc. | 2/9 | -0.01 | — | +3.2% |
| ETS | Elite Express Holding Inc. | — | — | — | — |
| UPS | UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INC | 5/9 | 2.23 | 16.8 | -2.6% |
All Transportation & Utilities companies →
About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
FAQ
Is ZTO financially healthy?
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.'s Piotroski F-score is 7/9 (8–9 is excellent, 0–3 weak), and its Altman Z″ distress score is in the safe zone.
Does ZTO pay a dividend, and is it safe?
Yes. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. pays a dividend with a 41.4% payout ratio, rated “moderate” for safety.
How profitable is ZTO?
In FY2025, ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. had a net margin of 18.5% and a return on equity of 13.5%.
Is ZTO overvalued or undervalued?
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. trades at about 14.5× trailing earnings — below its 10-year norm (10-year range 11.0×–39.9×, median 23.3×). Stocktoria reports the data, not buy/sell advice.
What is the analyst price target for ZTO?
The average Wall-Street price target for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is $29.00, about 25.3% above the recent price, from 18 analysts (consensus: strong buy).
Is ZTO a good stock to buy?
Stocktoria doesn't give buy or sell advice, but here is the data on ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.: a Piotroski F-score of 7/9, an Altman Z″ in the safe zone. Weigh these quality and valuation signals against your own goals.
Computed from company filings · US · as of 2025-12-31. Facts plus Stocktoria's own computed scores — not investment advice.